來自德勤的Alex Kyriakidis稱，如果迪拜到2015年的旅游業(yè)增長無法達(dá)到25%，那么她的酒店入住率和日均房價都會下降。預(yù)計(jì)到2015年迪拜的酒店數(shù)將增加到8萬間客房，而現(xiàn)在只有5萬間客房。
       即使有一半在建建筑停工，Alex Kyriakidis說：“迪拜還可以多消化15000間客房。”迪拜現(xiàn)在每年吸引約950萬名游客。如果所有酒店建設(shè)完成，迪拜每年需吸引約1200萬游客來支持她的入住率和日均房價。
       事實(shí)是迪拜的酒店入住率從2007年的80%下降到70%，而每間可銷售房收入下降了20%，為240美元。

      Occupancy rates and ADR in the glitzy emirate will likely drop unless tourism grows by about 25% by 2015, according to Alex Kyriakidis, global managing director of tourism, hospitality and leisure for Deloitte. Dubai’s hotel inventory is projected to climb to 80,000 guestrooms from its current 50,000 in that period.
      Even if half of the expected construction is canceled, “15,000 rooms would be a fairly big increase for Dubai to absorb,” Dubai currently draws about 9.5 million visitors a year; if the full hotel build-out occurs, that figure would need to be about 12 million to sustain current occupancy and ADR, he says.
      As it is, Dubai’s occupancy has already slipped to 70% from 80% in 2007, while RevPAR is down 20% in that timeframe to US$240.